Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.029785 0.032093 0.034507 0.037224 0.040200 0.043365 0.046991
2025-02-16 0.025916 0.029174 0.032765 0.037030 0.041975 0.047548 0.054335
2025-02-23 0.023234 0.027019 0.031355 0.036720 0.043218 0.050883 0.060681
2025-03-02 0.021382 0.025525 0.030423 0.036688 0.044558 0.054203 0.067056
2025-03-09 0.019679 0.024004 0.029254 0.036161 0.045106 0.056435 0.072084
2025-03-16 0.018185 0.022595 0.028071 0.035452 0.045273 0.058077 0.076341
2025-03-23 0.017062 0.021559 0.027256 0.035111 0.045825 0.060174 0.081273
2025-03-30 0.016089 0.020640 0.026514 0.034780 0.046314 0.062154 0.086115
2025-04-06 0.015098 0.019629 0.025576 0.034097 0.046235 0.063285 0.089753
2025-04-13 0.014587 0.019227 0.025420 0.034462 0.047621 0.066550 0.096746
2025-04-20 0.013996 0.018677 0.025022 0.034445 0.048428 0.068985 0.102624
2025-04-27 0.013599 0.018370 0.024936 0.034855 0.049866 0.072429 0.110315
2025-05-04 0.012983 0.017731 0.024352 0.034511 0.050158 0.074154 0.115412
2025-05-11 0.012469 0.017211 0.023914 0.034352 0.050715 0.076314 0.121387
2025-05-18 0.011961 0.016674 0.023419 0.034072 0.051052 0.078125 0.126889
2025-05-25 0.011559 0.016273 0.023103 0.034044 0.051774 0.080589 0.133703
2025-06-01 0.011065 0.015712 0.022520 0.033562 0.051721 0.081740 0.138238
2025-06-08 0.010561 0.015117 0.021856 0.032914 0.051348 0.082312 0.141731
2025-06-15 0.010174 0.014681 0.021417 0.032602 0.051512 0.083806 0.147050
2025-06-22 0.009813 0.014271 0.020998 0.032298 0.051666 0.085277 0.152426
2025-06-29 0.009398 0.013761 0.020403 0.031673 0.051224 0.085643 0.155647
2025-07-06 0.009226 0.013622 0.020387 0.032008 0.052474 0.089152 0.165436
2025-07-13 0.008984 0.013365 0.020170 0.031991 0.053093 0.091524 0.173099